The Weather UNIT

This is my personal arrangement to provide a useful format for discussing and disseminating breaking weather news and information. Opinions I post here are mine. If you are offended by wide open discussions of science, news, life, politics and religious things, kindly get out of here NOW. At times sources quoted here are suspect at best. I try to make sure they are correct, but I do err at times. Comments by readers are theirs alone, I may or may not approve of their opinions.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

LIVE COVERAGE Hurricane Sandy Aftermath

...14 dead so far from the superstorm...

Now might be the time to evacuate some areas...

View more videos at: http://nbcnewyork.com.

Monday, October 29, 2012

LIVE COVERAGE Hurricane Sandy

Hurricane Sandy Developing Precipitation Eyewall

000
WTNT43 KNHC 291443
TCDAT3

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

SANDY IS MAINTAINING A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER...WITH BOTH AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA INDICATING A 20 N MI DIAMETER
EYE HAS DEVELOPED SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. MAXIMUM 700 MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN 94 KT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT...AND
SFMR-ADJUSTED SURFACE WINDS OF 80-83 KT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT MORE THAN 90 N MI FROM THE CENTER.  THE
AIRCRAFT DATA ALSO INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN A
LITTLE...TO ABOUT 943 MB.  BASED ON THE LATEST RECONNAISSANCE
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 80 KT.

RECONNAISSANCE CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY
TURNING TO THE LEFT AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR ABOUT
330/16 KT. THE LATEST RECON FIXES HAVE BEEN FALLING ON THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TRACK...AND SO HAVE THE LATEST 12Z NHC FORECAST MODELS.
THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE ADVISORY PREVIOUS TRACK
OR REASONING ARE REQUIRED. SANDY IS NOW LOCATED NORTH OF THE AXIS
OF A STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND THE
HURRICANE SHOULD TURN NORTHWESTWARD VERY SOON. LANDFALL ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
EVENING...AT WHICH TIME A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED.
AFTER MOVING INLAND OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. BY 48 HOURS...THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...AND
LIES CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE CONSENSUS MODELS TV15 AND TVCN.

SANDY IS CURRENTLY TRAVERSING A NARROW RIDGE OF WARM SSTS AROUND
27C...WHICH ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF STREAM. THIS EXTRA
LOW-LEVEL HEAT INPUT HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE RECENT INCREASE
IN CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE. HOWEVER...SANDY WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE NORTH WALL OF THE GULFSTREAM WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS...WHICH
WILL BRING A HALT TO ANY SIGNIFICANT INNER-CORE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE
OVERALL INTENSITY OR THE SIZE OF THE EXTREMELY LARGE WIND FIELD
THAT IS NOW MORE THAN 1000 N MI IN DIAMETER. AT THE MOMENT...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ONLY OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT...BUT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THESE COULD SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT WELL-DEFINED WARM AND COLD FRONTS LIE
VERY NEAR THE CENTER OF SANDY...AND THE COMBINATION OF COLDER OCEAN
WATER AND NEARBY FRONTAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE REACHES
THE COAST.  HOWEVER...THIS TRANSFORMATION WILL NOT DIMINISH THE
OVERALL IMPACTS FROM WINDS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...LIFE-THREATENING
STORM SURGE... AND FLOODING RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DANGEROUS
WEATHER SYSTEM.  BASED ON THE GLOBAL MODELS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD
WEAKEN FAIRLY RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL.

INTERESTS ARE REMINDED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE CENTER OR THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SINCE STRONG WINDS COVER AN AREA
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ACROSS...AND THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL NOT
NECESSARILY BE NEAR THE CENTER...ESPECIALLY JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET
ABOVE THE GROUND.

AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE
CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL WARNINGS WHEN SANDY BECOMES
POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND HAZARD NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/1500Z 37.5N  71.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
 12H  30/0000Z 39.0N  74.0W   80 KT  90 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  30/1200Z 39.9N  76.7W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  31/0000Z 40.4N  77.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  31/1200Z 41.5N  77.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  01/1200Z 44.5N  75.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  02/1200Z 45.9N  72.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  03/1200Z 47.5N  68.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

For more coverage and commentary on Hurricane Sandy VISIT:

www,thenewsunit.com

Hurricane Sandy The EPIC SUPERSTORM

http://thenewsunit.blogspot.com/2012/10/superstorm-sandy-epic-storm.html

http://thenewsunit.blogspot.com/2012/10/superstorm-sandy-false-flag-event-in.html

*****EVACUATIONS IN PROGRESS*****

794   
NOUS41 KPHI 281841  
PNSPHI  
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-  
055-060>062-067>071-291200-  
  
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
241 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012  
   
..AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA  
  
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO SLAM INTO THE NEW JERSEY COAST LATER MONDAY   
NIGHT, BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION.   
THE STORM IS A LARGE ONE, THEREFORE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT CENTER   
OF THE STORM AS ALL AREAS WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.  
  
THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE AN HISTORIC STORM, WITH WIDESPREAD WIND   
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES, INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING, AND MASSIVE   
BEACH EROSION. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND PROLONGED WIND   
WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES AND SERIOUS   
FLOODING.   
  
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPING UP AS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO   
WORSEN TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.  
  
SOME IMPORTANT NOTES...  
  
1. IF YOU ARE BEING ASKED TO EVACUATE A COASTAL LOCATION BY STATE   
AND LOCAL OFFICIALS, PLEASE DO SO.  
  
2. IF YOU ARE RELUCTANT TO EVACUATE, AND YOU KNOW SOMEONE WHO RODE   
OUT THE '62 STORM ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS, ASK THEM IF THEY COULD DO   
IT AGAIN.  
  
3. IF YOU ARE RELUCTANT, THINK ABOUT YOUR LOVED ONES, THINK ABOUT   
THE EMERGENCY RESPONDERS WHO WILL BE UNABLE TO REACH YOU WHEN YOU   
MAKE THE PANICKED PHONE CALL TO BE RESCUED, THINK ABOUT THE   
RESCUE/RECOVERY TEAMS WHO WILL RESCUE YOU IF YOU ARE INJURED OR   
RECOVER YOUR REMAINS IF YOU DO NOT SURVIVE.  
  
4. SANDY IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM. THERE WILL BE MAJOR   
PROPERTY DAMAGE, INJURIES ARE PROBABLY UNAVOIDABLE, BUT THE GOAL IS   
ZERO FATALITIES.  
  
5. IF YOU THINK THE STORM IS OVER-HYPED AND EXAGGERATED, PLEASE ERR   
ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION.  
  
WE WISH EVERYONE IN HARMS WAY ALL THE BEST. STAY SAFE!

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Hurricane Sandy To Make An Unusual Transition

The Art Of Deception

This is no superstorm at all and the hype is really annoying to this storm chaser who understands and has studied weather and climate. However, it is strong enough to take some precautions especially along the coastal regions and those areas historically prone to flooding. Other than that just prepare for a lot of rain, strong gale and storm force winds and flooding.

The consumer falls for this and rushes out buying goods which might put an ever so slight boost to the regional economy for a few days. But to cry wolf as if this is some MAJOR SUPERSTORM is utterly ridiculous.

There is one legitimate concern for an EARLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT especially in higher elevations of the Appalachians that this storm will impact. For that you would do well to keep up with the forecast as inland flooding could be very devastating in some localized areas should a large amount of snowfall occur followed by a rapid meltoff and heavy rain even.

It is somewhat troubling (but I'm getting used to hearing it) when our government and media try to condition the general public into believing all their transmissions on this event. It's almost as if they are doing this on purpose to make people believe things when they actually are not so.

On the other hand the things which are dreadful and concerning no one gives attention to. This is very typical of the art of deception:

Skip the media hype and go directly to The National Weather Service data. The media and their meteorologists and alleged "specialists" are the typical media vultures. They are paid shills to elevate this widespread storm to an intensity that is beyond necessary:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/20121027_pa_sandyTransition.pdf

...developing...

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Hurricane Sandy The Tropical Storm and Noreaster

Hurricane? Tropical Storm? Noreaster?

Don't believe the hype on this alleged hurricane which is now transitioning to extratropical and rather strong mid-latitude cyclone that is not even a "noreaster" but just a strong persistent east coast storm. Very simple:

Expect strong winds along the coastal regions and the usual flood prone areas should take caution but other than that it's the usual rain, wind, and flooding potential and the coverage of evacuations and other concerns is getting old.

But if you want to get all worked up about it keep reading the news headlines of the usual fear mongers telling you all hell is about to break loose on Long Island, etc.

www.nhc.noaa.gov

...developing...